Monthly Archives: January 2017

Issues with AEMO Forecasting, Part 1

The AEMO does a lot of modelling of the NEM, to assess such things as the adequacy of the future generating capacity to meet peak demands, and of the transmission system to cope with new and lost generators. A key … Continue reading

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South Australian response today to 2014/15 weather

Introduction This post repeats the analysis of the previous one, this time for the summer weather of 2014/15 in South Australia (SA), with 2016/17 wind farms. The maximum demand in SA in summer 2014/15 was quite low, an outcome that … Continue reading

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South Australian response today to 2013/14 weather

Summary The AEMO uses past wind power and demand data to model the future adequacy of the NEM, and they make the data used available to the public. This post presents some of the data available for the summer of … Continue reading

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Quantifying Capacity Credit

This post proposes a method of characterising the “Capacity Credit” of renewable electricity generation methods, covering both the credit of the existing generators, and how the credit will increase with additional generators. Solar power is a good way to introduce … Continue reading

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